The Honda Classic kicked off the PGA Tour’s Florida leg on Thursday, and locals Brooks Koepka and Daniel Berger were tipped as favorites due to their closeness to the event.
Experts were also paying attention to Joaquin Niemann, who won last week in Los Angeles, and Sungjae Im, who is off to a fast start.
Rufus Peabody, a professional sports bettor, evaluated his simulated data and remained silent.
“I keep my head down,” Peabody said this week to USA Today Sports+. “I don’t pay attention to folks who talk about their picks in public and sell them. Consider that for a moment. “What makes you think you’d sell your picks?”
Peabody, who has been a professional gambler since 2009, developed a mathematical model that runs 250,000 simulations on the Honda Classic, taking into account a variety of variables such as weather, player talent, and hole and course difficulty.
With those results in mind, he set out to place as many bets as he could at both domestic and international bookmakers. Peabody’s actions frequently result in dramatic changes in global odds.
He targets roughly 12 players in US tournaments, focusing on the golfers he favors in head-to-head contests, which most internet stores offer, in addition to wagering on overseas golf events.
To assist offset the risk of select longshot players, Peabody wagers on them as a “each-way” wager, with up to 1/4 returns for those who finish in the top five.
“I’m looking to get down as much as I can if I have an edge,” Peabody added.
That is golf’s lovely duality.
On the surface, he appears to be gentle and distinguished, but once the shots start flying, he becomes wild and risky.
At online sportsbooks, the four major sports get significantly more betting traffic. However, a tiny but growing group of savvy and well-heeled sports bettors has chosen golf as their preferred wagering sport.
“I used to wager baseball and football, but as markets became more efficient, I realized I needed to specialize more,” Peabody explained. “I could still make a modest profit with baseball, but it’s nearly not worth the time considering everything I put into (the research).”
Golf, on the other hand, has presented him with significantly more rewards.